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david friedberg
congrats to @Polymarket ... great to have real prediction markets for US participants. hedging outcomes in non-financial markets will have broad applicability for individuals and businesses as liquidity increases.

Shayne Coplan 🦅21.7. klo 23.45
Polymarket has acquired QCEX, a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse, for $112 million.
This paves the way for us to welcome American traders again.
I've waited a long time to say this:
Polymarket is coming home 🇺🇸🦅

85,6K
it is vitally important for america that mamdani get elected mayor of NYC. he can help maximally and swiftly tax the rich, stand up govt-run grocery stores, eliminate the police force, freeze rents, and make public transportation free..
it’s unlikely that taxing the rich will cause them to move to other cities (collapsing nyc tax revenue), or that city-run grocery stores will fail to increase fresh vegetable consumption in the inner city, or that elimination of the NYPD will cause a rise in crime and decline in quality of life, or that freezing rents will drive landlords to dump properties (collapsing prices and property tax revenue), or that free public transportation will result in union-led kleptocracy. no way. i’m sure this time socialism will be different…
if Americans don’t want to learn the lessons of socialism’s failures elsewhere, we should aim to learn them here as quickly as possible.
let’s make sure one or two cities and states fall apart fast so the rest don’t have to.. elect mamdani!
after accruing $2 trillion in student loan debt, that they will never be able to pay down, it’s no surprise “the college educated in nyc are supporting mamdani 61-39”. the current system has failed them.
but the truth is, more government may not be the answer when too much government (indiscriminate federal student loans regardless of cost or quality of degree or institution) may have gotten them to this moment.
a gentle reminder, though, that an articulate ignoramus isn’t more correct than his less charismatic/authentic political rival. facts, data, truth still stand above theory, innuendo, and bullshit. socialism won’t work. if we have to re-learn that lesson the hard way, let’s do it fast and elect mamdani.

The All-In Podcast24.6.2025
You Heard It Here First. Friedberg's Most Contrarian Belief for 2025: "A dramatic rise in socialist movements in the US."
According to Polymarket, Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani has closed a massive gap on Andrew Cuomo over the past month for the Democratic nomination for NYC Mayor.
Mamdani's chances jumped from ~6% to 55%, while Cuomo fell from 93% to 45%.
On June 23, Mamdani surged ahead of Cuomo after a surprise poll showed him ahead.
This tracks Friedberg's 2025 prediction of a "dramatic rise in socialist movements in the US."
Here was his explanation in early January:
" My contrarian belief is that we'll see a rise, a dramatic rise, in socialist movements in 2025 in the United States."
"And I think that some industries and some companies are going to be huge winners and some companies are going to be huge losers."
"There's gonna be some parts of the economy that are gonna be big winners and some parts of the economy that are gonna be big losers."
"When you have this sort of a change this fast, there are often large contingents of people that are left behind."
"And when that happens, I do think that the socialist policies and the socialist movements gain steam."

1,52M
it’s fiscal emergency o’ clock in america. there are only so many opportunities to do the hard things that need to be done. in this moment it shouldn’t be a partisan consideration that the deficit needs to be radically reduced..

The All-In Podcast19.5.2025
David Friedberg Destroys the House Spending Bill: "Americans should be ashamed."
"If you are an American, you should feel shame that your elected officials are proposing that this is the bill that gets passed."
"Absolute disgraziad."
"That we vaporize this much money, that we put ourselves this much further in debt, that we do not treat the situation as the fiscal emergency that it is."
" We are now burning an additional $2.5T a year adding to our debt load."
"We are in a fiscal crisis and we're not willing to admit it."
" And I've said this from day one that DOGE can only do so much. And clearly that's the case where they're now talking about sub $300B a year in potential annual savings from DOGE action."
" At the end of the day, Congress needs to take action and this bill from Congress doesn't take much action."
During our 2025 Predictions Show in early January, Friedberg created a market on whether the US national debt would exceed $38T in 2025.
According to Polymarket, there is now an 80% chance that the debt WILL exceed $38T this year.

189,35K
thank you Secretary Rollins for the conversation...

The All-In Podcast5.5.2025
🚨🇺🇸 all-in takes DC is back!
@friedberg is joined by secretary of agriculture @SecRollins
-- reforming the usda
-- massive impact of food stamps on the usda budget
-- the trump admin's outsider advantage
-- state of farming in 2025: labor, innovation, expanding markets
-- working with doge
++ much more
(0:00) friedberg welcomes secretary rollins!
(1:32) how she ended up in trump's two administrations, history of the usda
(16:56) trump's first 100 days, what needs to be reformed in the usda
(21:31) snap's massive impact on usda budget: soda, obesity, health challenges; how being dc outsiders helps the trump administration
(30:48) how she reconciles running a department with a lot of government intervention after coming from a free market background
(34:33) state of us farming in 2025, labor costs, opening up new markets, and more
(42:11) working with doge, farm bill negotiation, stance on agricultural innovation
125,75K
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