Overcapacity, deflation, and devaluation may be China's story for a long time, as the world raises trade barriers to protect its own production
Robin Brooks
Robin Brooks21.7. klo 03.33
China is in a tough spot. It's exports to the US are down -24% q/q in Jun '25. Exporters have only 2 options: (i) transship to the US; (ii) export goods to other countries at a discount to generate demand. Either way, a big hit to profitability and a deflationary shock for China.
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