Most people think the bull market will last forever, but they are wrong I analyzed each cycle of #btc and altcoin seasons, and historically, October has been a key exit time Review history, plan ahead, and lock in profits Here's why and what 👇🧵 you should know
1/ ✸ The growth of the cryptocurrency market will not last forever, but most people only realize this after a crash. ✸ Past cycles show how everything actually works, as we can look at them without any emotions—just treating them as data. ✸ This is exactly what I have been doing for the past few months, and I want to explain why I have been planning to exit while others are just entering:
3/ ✸For this, I use the following indicators: → MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value Ratio) → NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) → SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) ✸They won't tell you when to sell, but they will clearly indicate when it is very dangerous to continue holding.
4/ ✸ In the weeks leading up to the massive sell-off in 2017 and 2021, signs of overheating were already visible. ✸ The current situation is almost the same, with its value approaching an overheating state. ✸ This means that the bull market and altcoin peak in 2025 will occur between August and September, and most assets should be sold before October.
5/ ✸ Before you realize profits, it's just numbers on a screen that can disappear at any moment. ✸ This is especially important during peak cycles, as shifts in sentiment and decreased liquidity can lead to crashes. ✸ That's why I no longer think "I'll wait a little longer," because it brings unnecessary risk.
6/ ✸You should take the following actions: →Take profits gradually →Diversify your capital, including assets, stable funds, and cash →Never re-enter after experiencing FOMO ✸Discipline in asset management is the key to success, especially when the market starts to send warning signals.
55,44K