A few simple thoughts on the US v. Storm trial, where the Manhattan jury should start hearing evidence today: 1) Only the government really knows what evidence the government is going to offer to show that Roman knew of if not intended to help third parties launder using TornadoCash. Everyone has assumed they don't have anything damning. We will see soon. 2) If the evidence on knowledge/intent is weak, then I feel better about the defense's case (and the whole thing as to Roman's actual innocence). 3) Arguments that this is all about the correct federal policy, administrative overreach, the future of the industry, and civil rights - basically everything you've heard on your favorite crypto podcast as to why this case is important - none of that really will matter to the outcome here. This is about whether there is enough evidence as to what Roman did and thought to say he is culpable for transmitting money (broad category) and laundering money (stricter standard). Academic arguments aren't going to be given the time of day in a court that cares about what actually happened. 4) If he is convicted, and there was no really troubling evidence AND the chief complaint that DOJ is prosecuting a theory with which FinCEN expressly and publicly disagrees persists notwithstanding the verdict, then I'd expect Roman's sentence being commuted or him even being fully pardoned. Good luck @rstormsf. I sincerely hope the facts established at trial demonstrate you've been right all along.
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